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The Great Platinum Squeeze: Why Mininers Are Struggling to Stay Afloat

The platinum mining sector is facing a period of profound financial and operational challenges due to persistently low metal prices, declining revenues, and strategic restructuring efforts by major players. Platinum Group Metals (PGMs), which include platinum, palladium, and rhodium, have suffered significant price drops over the past year. 

This is putting immense pressure on mining companies like Anglo American Platinum (Amplats), Impala Platinum (Implats), and Sibanye Stillwater. In response, these firms have reported substantial losses, announced cost-cutting measures, and restructured operations to remain viable in the shifting market.

Anglo American Platinum (Amplats)

Major Decline and Workforce Reduction in response to poor profitability amid low metal prices

Amplats, one of the world’s largest platinum producers, has been significantly impacted by the downturn in PGM prices. The company reported a profit decline of 52% for the year ending December 2024. Its estimated profit fell between 6.3 billion rand ($339 million) and 7.6 billion rand, a stark contrast to the 13 billion rand recorded the previous year

The sharp drop is mainly due to falling palladium and rhodium prices, along with a 1.9 billion rand writedown on asset values, particularly at its Mogalakwena mine, where its coarse particle recovery technology failed to yield expected efficiencies. In response to the financial downturn, Amplats has initiated large-scale cost-cutting measures, including job cuts. 

Impala Platinum (Implats):

Implats which contributes approximately 20% to global primary PGM production annually has also been heavily affected by the market downturn, with its half-year profit plummeting by 43%.

Weak Metal Prices

The company’s headline earnings fell to 1.85 billion rand ($100.15 million) for the six months ending December 31, 2024, compared to 3.26 billion rand in the previous year. The decline was primarily driven by an 8% decrease in rand revenue per PGM ounce, highlighting the sustained weakness in metal prices

Cancelling the Dividend

As a direct consequence of this financial strain, Implats decided against declaring an interim dividend, citing insufficient free cash flow. The company’s leadership has been clear about the need to preserve liquidity given the ongoing price volatility in the market.

Mine Closure Brought Forward

One of the most significant strategic adjustments Implats is considering is the premature closure of its Canadian palladium mine if market conditions fail to improve. The mine, which saw a 20% drop in production to 116,000 tons in the first half of the financial year, has become increasingly unprofitable at current price levels. This reflects a broader industry trend, where mining companies are scaling back operations that are no longer financially viable.

Platinum Projects Suspended

Implats’ CEO, Nico Muller, stated that it is “highly improbable” for substantial investments in new PGM production within the country under the current market conditions. Implats has suspended several projects, including the Two Rivers project in South Africa and the North Hill project in Zimbabwe, reflecting a broader industry trend of curtailing expansion plans amid declining metal prices and shifting demand dynamics.

Dunne anticipates a 10% reduction in South African platinum output over the next five years, decreasing from approximately 3.9 million ounces to around 3.5 million ounces. This decline is attributed to under-investment in new mining projects

Angloamerican platinum mine sign

Anglo American has announced plans to sell a 5% stake in Amplats, signaling the first step in a potential wider divestment strategy

Impala platinum mine

In 2024, Implats announced a significant reduction in new investments due to a substantial decline in profits

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Sibanye Stillwater: Production Cuts and Writedowns

Sibanye Stillwater has been among the hardest hit, warning of a full-year loss following a substantial $500 million impairment on its U.S. operations

As part of its response to the financial downturn, Sibanye is halving its U.S. mined platinum and palladium production. This decision includes placing the Stillwater West mine on care and maintenance while deferring planned expansion at East Boulder.

These measures will lead to approximately 800 job losses and a projected reduction of 200,000 ounces in annual production from its U.S. operations

Palladium Decline

The company’s financial performance has also suffered, with Sibanye reporting a 7.1 billion rand ($394.4 million) loss for the six months ending June 30, 2024. This is a stark contrast to the 7.8 billion rand profit recorded in the same period the previous year.

Palladium prices have dropped significantly from their peak of $3,440 per ounce in March 2022 to a fraction of that value in early 2025, adding to the company’s financial strain.

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Northam Platinum Bucks Trend

Northam Platinum is ramping up investment, raising its CAPEX forecast for this fiscal year from ZAR4.3 billion to ZAR4.6 billion, primarily for growth at Zondereinde and Eland.

Meanwhile, low metal prices could push other producers toward harvesting strategies, prioritising short-term gains over long-term resource development. This may lead to early shaft closures for mines nearing the end of their life, as seen with Lonmin in the previous down-cycle.

While Northam remains committed to expansion, weaker market conditions could accelerate shutdowns elsewhere.

Russian Miners

Norilsk Nickel (Nornickel)

Nornickel is the largest global producer of palladium and also a significant producer of platinum. The company’s net profit declined by 37% year-on-year, amounting to $1.8 billion

Nornickel’s revenue fell by 13% to $12.5 billion, reflecting the challenging market conditions.

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